Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.037132 0.040140 0.043299 0.046870 0.050798 0.054995 0.059826
2025-03-02 0.032305 0.036554 0.041266 0.046899 0.053479 0.060951 0.070124
2025-03-09 0.028672 0.033550 0.039183 0.046211 0.054802 0.065034 0.078254
2025-03-16 0.025840 0.031047 0.037256 0.045272 0.055441 0.068040 0.085030
2025-03-23 0.023816 0.029264 0.035941 0.044819 0.056451 0.071370 0.092273
2025-03-30 0.022151 0.027754 0.034785 0.044379 0.057316 0.074433 0.099262
2025-04-06 0.020546 0.026179 0.033396 0.043469 0.057401 0.076351 0.104711
2025-04-13 0.019686 0.025501 0.033105 0.043957 0.059353 0.080886 0.114156
2025-04-20 0.018746 0.024644 0.032497 0.043934 0.060536 0.084357 0.122260
2025-04-27 0.018107 0.024146 0.032331 0.044490 0.062545 0.089117 0.132666
2025-05-04 0.017271 0.023321 0.031649 0.044240 0.063317 0.092040 0.140388
2025-05-11 0.016536 0.022593 0.031055 0.044064 0.064158 0.095084 0.148511
2025-05-18 0.015787 0.021815 0.030356 0.043698 0.064699 0.097718 0.156238
2025-05-25 0.015189 0.021224 0.029896 0.043661 0.065737 0.101206 0.165724
2025-06-01 0.014473 0.020423 0.029078 0.043014 0.065742 0.102972 0.172306
2025-06-08 0.013754 0.019583 0.028159 0.042149 0.065321 0.103969 0.177547
2025-06-15 0.013199 0.018965 0.027546 0.041732 0.065603 0.106163 0.185167
2025-06-22 0.012687 0.018387 0.026965 0.041328 0.065870 0.108328 0.192897
2025-06-29 0.012107 0.017681 0.026150 0.040493 0.065334 0.109009 0.197765
2025-07-06 0.011856 0.017475 0.026112 0.040941 0.067055 0.113880 0.211431
2025-07-13 0.011516 0.017113 0.025807 0.040919 0.067932 0.117240 0.222315
2025-07-20 0.011308 0.016952 0.025817 0.041430 0.069791 0.122575 0.237872
2025-07-27 0.010959 0.016550 0.025414 0.041200 0.070270 0.125275 0.248002